Last Weeks Results :
Not alot I can say that won't have already been written in the press about how good that Tiger win was last week. I spent atleast an hour trying to compare other greats in other sports and what they'd have to achieve to emulate what Tiger has done. I struggled if I was honest, but the closest I came up with, was Mo Farah in 10 years time winning a gold medal at the Olympics. Now I get there are different mechanics to both those sports but if you look the the physical issues Tiger has had with his back, and then in the past some of his personal issues then you'll soon realise what a feat that is.
As for our bets went we broke even with Xander Schauffele getting close and finishing T2, and we got close with Kucher but it always felt like his game was two shots from where it needed to be to make up the difference.
European Tour : (No event this week - back 25th April)
This Weeks Events
So what are we looking for :
European Tour Performance YTD : -7pts (minus)
PGA Tour : RBC Heritage
This Weeks Events
Feels a little bit like after the Lord Mayor's Show with the brilliant event that was The Masters. But there is a golf tournament to be played and there is still a decent prize for those that choose to play. Defending champion Satoshi Kodaria looks set to defend his title this week. For those that are interested we are 5 hours ahead of South Carolina.
Course Overview :
We head to the course at Harbour Town, Hilton Head, SC (South Carolina) The course is located on the West Coast of the US and as you'll guess from the name its a costal location. We play a PAR 71 course that plays around 7100 yards with holes consisting of 3 x PAR 5 / 4 x PAR 3 / 11 x PAR 4. Water features plenty on this course but at holes : 3,4,7,9,11,12,13,14,18.
If you look at any of the flyby's from the course just about everyone of the holes is pretty well lined by the trees, and there are some very well placed bunkers to protect some of the most attackable parts of the course.
Field Overview :
As always it will be interesting to see who turns up this week, I would imagine the most of the top 20 from The Masters might well take a break for a week, but looking at the initial attendee list, the likes of Dechambeau, Fleetwood, Harding, DJ and Cantlay are in as I write this on Sunday evening. I think a decent prize pot may help. The prize money pot this week sits around the $6m mark. with prize money to winner around the $1.1m
The reason for my slight dubious thinking around player attendance is that the Top 10s at The Masters are exempt into the Wells Fargo Golf because it's the next event for which the top-10 provision applies
So What Are We Looking For?
I have looked back at the past few years winners. All of those generally are not known for slapping it long or those that could and did, backed it up with accuracy which is what I consider to be key here. With so much water in play too I will be looking at those then that can gain some strokes gained around the green.
The last 5 winners were (oldest to most recent) Kuchar, Furyk, Grace, Wesley Bryan, and Satoshi Kodaira all back up what I have just mentioned.
So if you are looking for a statistically advantageous pick, i'd look at these three (in order of importance).
1. Accuracy off the tee
2. Strokes gained tee to green (SGTTG)
So I will use that for two of my picks this week, but I do like to pick someone who has recent form and course form (one from each) so I will do my research on this also.
PGA Tour Performance YTD : +41.75pts
Event 1 : RBC Heritage
(0,5pts EW each)
Justin Harding 80/1 8 places Skybet
Wyndham Clarke 200/1 8 places Skybet
Sung-Jae Im. 8 places 45/1 Skybet
Si Woo Kim 40/1 6 places Unibet
Top 20 Finish (pt):
Wyndham Clarke 9/1 with Betfair
First Round Leader (0pts) :
Joel Dahman 100/1 7places Boylesport
Bryson DeChambeau 30/1 7 places Betfair
Kevin Kisner 40/1 5 places various