Last Weeks Results :
Well i made a fuckin' mess of that didn't I? Wise threatened for a short while in R2 of the Wells Fargo, but that is about as good as I get! As the European Tour, we can also file that in the dogshit bin. So we dust ourselves down and go again....
So to this week?....
European Tour : British Masters
This Weeks Events
Having attended last years event in the South which is close to me in Kent, I have a real FOMO issue this week, admittedly I couldn't deal with the 6hr drive there and back and the accent of those people in Southport. Just joking obviously! That aside if any of you are going then if it is as well organised as the last one, I am sure it will be a good event. Also in better news the fact we are back on European turf, then we wont be having to do any all nighters to try and sneak some European golf coverage.
This looks a good test this week, we play a PAR 72 course but less than 7000 yards. We have not played a recognised European Tour here before, but it has a strong links feel that you would probably expect not a million miles from Scotland. It appears in the main to nullify those who just rely on distance off a tee. The rough is an absolute beast for those who miss the fairway.
One of the biggest and best fields we'll see this year on the European Tour as we head back to European Turf for the first time in many a month. There is a £3m prize pool, here which is aside from the Majors and Rolex events the biggest that we have on the ET. The host is Tommy Fleetwood and he is one of many stars including Hatton, Wallace and Pepperell (who won last years event) give a strong representation for those supporting the English contingent.
So what are we looking for :
So a number of things to think about, firstly the host in recent years has been appalling in terms of their performance with only one of the last 4 finishing in the top 10. This course has a strong link feel to it, so anyone who has links form will naturally have an advantage on a new course to all. I think accuracy off the tee will be critical with the course ready to chew up any wayward strokes. Those that can regularly hit the green without problems will go well too.
My three key stats :
1. Accuracy off the tee (Driving Accuracy)
2. Greens In regulation
From a betting perspective Betfred have already gone 10 places, followed by Skybet and Coral at 8 and 7 places respectively, but if you want value, i'd probably swerve Betfred unless there is a big odds you like.
European Tour Performance YTD : -13 pts (minus)
PGA Tour : Byron Nelson
This Weeks Events :
We head to Texas this week just outside of Dallas, and the penultimate week before the next Major, we have only been here for this event twice, so show some caution. I always find these events of interest as there is normally a sub-story bubbling underneath with someone needing a good week to qualify, or someone scratching around for form before next weeks big event.
Course Overview :
Trinity Forest Golf Club, 7,371 yards, par 71. Surrounded by the Great Trinity Forest, but without a tree on the property itself. The layout more resembles a windswept rolling meadow that offers fans numerous spots to watch the action on multiple holes. Most striking is a double green serving Nos. 3 and 11. The only thing we could look for to help keep scoring down is if the wind gets up which I read sometimes can happen.
Field Overview :
Perhaps a stronger field than i expected a week before a major, but that can only be a positive, with the likes of Spieth, Matsuyama, Koepka and Leishann just a handful of people that jump out of the page at me today and I think with a lack of course.
So What Are We Looking For?
A number of things stand out for me, the course is built and designed for low scoring. Naturally when it is also a forgiving course then you have to consider those that can slap it long with accuracy not top of the tree here. I am keeping it simple this week :
1. Distance off the tee
2. Birdie scoring
From a betting perspective, Paddy P, Betfair and Boylesports all go 8 places, but as always make sure you check the value this week.
PGA Tour Performance YTD : +41.75pts
Event 1 : British Masters
Outright : (0,5pts EW each)
Adrian Otaegui 70/1 8 places Skybet
Benjamin Hebert 55/1 10 Places Betfred
Sean Crocker 66/1 6 places Unibet
Romain Langasque 50/1 10 places Betfred
Ryan Fox 50/1 6 places Unibet
Top 20 Finish (pt):
Matthew Baldwin 11/1 Betfair
Jacques Kruyswijk 11/1 Betfair
Matthew Jordan 14/1 Betfair
First Round Leader (0pts) :
Jordan Smith 50/1 7 places Betfred
Tyrell Hatton 33/1 7 plaves Betfred
Event 1 : Byron Nelson
(0,5pts EW each)
Daniel Berger 80/1 7 places Coral
Justin Harding 100/1 6 places Skybet
Rory Sabbattini 50/1 5 places Bet365
Lucas Bjerregaard 66/1 6 places Betfred
Thomas Pieters 66/1 6 places Skybet
Top 20 Finish (pt):
Jim Knous 11/1 Betfair
Chris Stroud 10/1 Betfair
Peter Uihlein 9/1 Betfair
First Round Leader (0pts) :
Ryan Moore 50/1 7 places Boylesport
Thomas Pieters 66/1 6 places Unibet